Chronotope’s avatarChronotope’s Twitter Archive—№ 68,669

              1. LOL Twitter, which is currently most notable for making journalists and neo-Nazis happy, is valued at more than Marvel + Lucasfilm + Pixar.
            1. …in reply to @Chronotope
              Now, call me crazy, but I sincerely doubt that Twitter will ever make as much profit as any ONE of those companies.
          1. …in reply to @Chronotope
            But ok. Tech-suspend-belief time: Twitter and all tech companies have totally fair valuations if: - They learn how to make a profit (tk)...
        1. …in reply to @Chronotope
          - They can scale up without it costing them as much as it costs now, or by making more significant money so profit > scale cost...
      1. …in reply to @Chronotope
        - They, as companies, exist for about the next 50 years while constantly scaling up profitably.
    1. …in reply to @Chronotope
      Think about all the assumptions that JUST the last point includes: Because there are so many...
  1. …in reply to @Chronotope
    - Product, built as a transient in a transient time, will either remain viable, pivot at a high continual rate, or add features continually
    1. …in reply to @Chronotope
      - Managing a product in a constant state of change in order to keep up with web trends will never cause costs to exceed profits.
      1. …in reply to @Chronotope
        - The internet won't undergo a radical shift at the level of the radical shift that 10ish years ago made social a Thing.
        1. …in reply to @Chronotope
          - Server costs will never rise. - The underlying economics of how profit is made online won't change against their methodology...
          1. …in reply to @Chronotope
            - The platform will continually grow in active users. - No one will cut into their userbase through competition...
            1. …in reply to @Chronotope
              The fundamental assumptions go on and on and most of them are 90% sure to be impossible.
              1. …in reply to @Chronotope
                But the fundamental craziness is that these valuations make the assumption that use will go up forever while cost plateaus due to "scale"
                1. …in reply to @Chronotope
                  Yeah, I'm sure that's never going to go wrong.
                  1. …in reply to @Chronotope
                    Anyway, re: recode.net/2016/9/26/13062276/disney-won-t-buy-twitter The only people likely to buy Twitter IMO are media companies, because they don't do due diligence.
                    1. …in reply to @Chronotope
                      And also because all media companies firmly believe that Social Media is somehow magicking away profits that would come back If Only X.
                      1. …in reply to @Chronotope
                        It's fun to think about the inevitable names that won't last the test of time. - VerizonAOLTwitter - TNBC - TwitterYahooMic (TYM)


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