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I am noticing a new trend in stories. People are starting to have inverse confirmation bias. In confirmation bias you interpret new evidence towards existing beliefs. In the inverse you treat new beliefs as supported b/c 'why would they lie'? latimes.com/projects/la-ca-jc-anna-march/#Permalink On twitter.com
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I think this sort of thing happened before but is occurring increasingly & in a different manner now because we tend to believe the internet would make it easy to disprove any claim or belief so when we hear a theory we think why would someone lie if it could easily be disproven?Permalink On twitter.com
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We get challenged with claims & theories and tend to believe them w/out supporting evidence, the chain of thought ends up: why would someone say something easy to disprove, the evidence they are wrong would be right there online, they know that, so they must be telling the truth.Permalink On twitter.com
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As a result we get things like Goop and Infow*rs, but also a string of high profile fakers who have little proof of their claims or identity but make big lies that would be easy to disprove because that is in our data-soaked culture, its own type of proof.Permalink On twitter.com
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The result is we are now in a world where inverted confirmation bias is common. Where previously we would look for data to support our theories, now we see new theories and don't bother looking for *any* data... because hey, it must be out there or why would they claim it?On twitter.com
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It's real easy to translate this into what's happening in politics, financial markets, and cryptocurrency. And you can see how it is causing a crisis in how we value journalism. I don't really have a solution, but it seems to me this is a phenomenon that is out there, increasing.Permalink On twitter.com
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It causes its own aftereffect. Once someone has accepted these theories it is very difficult to challenge them or show countering data. They've accepted it, they're don't want to think themselves stupid or credulous, so it must be correct. Then normal confirmation bias kicks in.Permalink On twitter.com
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I don't know how to challenge this except at an educational level. If you're trained to challenge everything you have some sort of defense. But even journalists who receive that training can be fooled, so it isn't perfect.Permalink On twitter.com
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